Dark Ascension, D6s and Dollars

Written by Administrator on . Posted in Finance, Magic Culture

While preparing to write this, I was reading over my Innistrad set review and I had to laugh.  I had said that some of the Innistrad utility lands would go over $5 (which was correct), but I totally whiffed on which ones it would be (Stensia Bloodhall and Nephalia Drownyard were my choices).  Not only did I miss, but I picked the two that ended up having the lowest prices.  I would have been better off rolling dice than inserting my brain on that one.

After reading the review, I thought to myself, “I shouldn’t be able to get away with that!”

So, I made the decision to be more accountable this time around.  Here’s what I came up with:

 

My editors are cringing because I can’t spell the word “lose.”  Sorry guys.

The Battle

Here’s how it works:  For each card, I’ll roll a pair of six sided dice and let them predict the financial trajectory of each card.  Even numbers mean the price will go down; odd numbers means the price will go up.  If I roll doubles, it means the price will stay the same.  One month from today we’ll tally up which financial expert (the dice or I) had the most correct answers.

So what happens if the dice win?  Obviously, these dice don’t stand a chance.  But to make it interesting for the reader, I decided to put something on the line.  If I can’t beat a mindless pair of dice then I will give away a FOIL Sorin, Lord of Innistrad as penance for sucking at Magic Finance.  If the unthinkable happens, I’ll choose the winner at random from the comment section.  If I win, then we can all go back to agreeing that I’m awesome.

Trajectory

For this review, I’m rating cards based on price trajectory.  The estimate is based on what direction I think a card will go in the next month.  If I think a card will go up, the trajectory will be marked “up.”  Same goes for “down.”  The exceptions are bulk rares.

I won’t use the “down” trajectory for bulk rares because they’re already at the bottom (a bulk rare is anything below $.99).  I’ll either use “stay,” which means that the card will stay below $.99 or “up,” which means it will go above $.99.

I’m not going to bother trying to predict whether a card is going to go from $.26 to $.56 (and you shouldn’t either).

Promos and Intro Packs

Whenever I evaluate cards from a new set, I always look to see which cards are going to be promos and which ones will be in the Intro Packs.  The added supply of these cards often suppresses the price of the card.  A good example of this is the Game Day Promo Zombie Apocalypse.  A lot of people want this card for Commander or Cube (I’m looking at you Matt Kranstuber), but they only need one copy.  Chances are that these people will want the Game Day promo over any other edition.  This means that the Gameday Promo will carry a premium, but that the set version will be relatively low in price (unless it sees constructed play).

Gameday
Zombie Apocalypse (Foil Extended Art)
Strangleroot Geist (Extended Art)

Prerelease Promo
Ravenous Demon (Foil Alternate Art)

Release Promo
Mondronen Shaman (Foil Alternate Art)

Buy a Box Promo
Gravecrawler (Foil Alternate Art)

Intro Packs
Requiem Angel (Foil)  – (Swift Justice)
Stromkirk Noble – (Swift Justice)
Havengul Runebinder (Foil) – (Relentless Dead)
Endless Ranks of the Dead – (Relentless Dead)
Fiend of the Shadows (Foil) – (Dark Sacrifice)
Champion of the Parish – (Dark Sacrifice)
Lingering Souls – (Dark Sacrifice)
Flayer of the Hatebound (Foil) – (Monstrous Surprise)
Gutter Grime – (Monstrous Surprise)
Strangleroot Geist x2 – (Monstrous Surprise)
Ghoultree (Foil) – (Grave Power )
Splinterfright – (Grave Power)

Pricing

I’m providing two prices for each card.  The first is the average eBay price and the second is the Star City Games price (SCG).  I’ll be basing my analysis on the eBay pricing.  The SCG price is listed here to give you some perspective.  There are many people who use SCG for pricing at the trade tables, so it’s important that you know both figures. 

For the eBay average price, I used the last twenty copies that sold.  A lot of these auctions were for a playset, which typically carries a premium (especially for new cards). This may skew the numbers upwards, especially for bulk rares.  For example, a bulk rare that would sell for $.25 on a retail site might average to be $.50.

Shipping is also a consideration when looking at the eBay price.  The shipping amount is often factored into the auction price so that the seller can offer free shipping.  This means that a playset of a bulk rare might go for $1, but $.44 cents of that is really a hidden shipping cost.  That means that instead of the cards being worth $.25, they’re worth more like $.16.  Keep these things in mind while reading along.

Archangel’s Light M (eBay $1.15 / SCG $1.49)

This card has Commander written all over it.  Usually, that means that it doesn’t have constructed written anywhere on it.  I don’t expect the price to drop much, because $1 is on the low side for a mythic rare.

Trajectory: Stay
The Dice Have Spoken: Down

FOIL Curse of Exhaustion U (eBay $1.90 / SCG $.99)

Rule of Law is currently seeing fringe play in Modern against storm decks.  I’m not sure if the extra white mana is worth the asymmetry, but if it is then foil copies of these will increase over time.  The eBay average on this is a bit tricky.  It looks like two playsets went for over $10 a set, while some singletons sold for much less.  I expect these to be $1 or less in a month, but I can see them rising over time.

Trajectory: Down
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Increasing Devotion R (eBay $.68 /SCG $1.99 )

Increasing Devotion

It makes tokens, so obviously it’s going to be worth a million dollars (/sarcasm)!  This card competes with other five-drops in the token decks, namely Elspeth Tirel and Geist-Honored Monk.  Is it better than these cards?  I have no idea.  I’d play Elspeth over this card, but I’d play Increasing Devotion over Geist-Honored Monk.

Trajectory: Up
The Dice Have Spoken: Down

Lingering Souls U (eBay $.46 /SCG $1.49)

Lingering Souls

Patrick Chapin, Conley Woods, and Ari Lax all think that this card is Standard playable.  When these guys talk, I listen.  And so do most other people.  I expect this to see a good amount of play in standard and possibly Modern.  The foils for this card are likely to perform well.

Trajectory: Up
The Dice Have Spoken: Down

FOIL Ray of Revelation C (eBay $3.30 /SCG $2.99 Judgment)

Ray of Revelation

 

Whenever there’s a reprint, the original foil usually sees a price boost.  This is especially true if the original has old borders.  This is the case with Ray of Revelation.  Keep on the lookout for Judgment foils of this.

Trajectory: Up
The Dice Have Spoken: Stay

Requiem Angel R (eBay .57 /SCG .49)

So, this card is good in a deck with a lot of creatures and also wants to cast a six drop?  Bulk!

Trajectory: Stay
The Dice Have Spoken: Down

Séance R (eBay $.71 /SCG $.75)

This card has potential; it triggers on each player’s Upkeep and it gets around Grafdigger’s Cage.  On the other hand, the line between “has potential” and bulk is a thin one.  I don’t have high hopes for this one, but I’ll file it in the “I wouldn’t be surprised to see this popup in Standard” folder in my head.

Trajectory: Stay
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Sudden Disappearance R (eBay $.35 /SCG $.49 )

I see two different ways to use this card:  The first is to use it to wipe out an opposing token horde.  This seems loose, since you could be doing a lot more with six mana (e.g., Massacre Wurm).  The second way is to abuse permanents with ETB effects (like Titans), but why not just cast a Titan rather than try to blink one?  If you’re blinking two Titans, then why haven’t you won?  I don’t expect this card to see much play, but I’ll note that it has an interesting interaction with Sundial of the Infinite.

Trajectory: Stay
The Dice Have Spoken: Down

Thalia, Guardian of Thraben R (eBay $4 /SCG $5.99 )

Thalia

If you’ve been reading any of the Dark Ascension strategy content, then you have probably noticed that most of the prominent voices in the community are saying good things about Thalia.  This card will see play in multiple formats and has a lot of potential to rise in price.  I’d keep an eye on the foil version of this card, which is currently about $12.  They could easily hit $15.

Trajectory: Up
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Thraben Doomsayer R (eBay $1.58 /SCG $2.99 )

This guy is difficult for me to evaluate, but I’m going to error on the side of “probably sucks.”  It’s not as good as something like Geist of Saint Traft, or even Blade Splicer.  That being said, there are still people who want to live the dream of combo-ing this guy with Hex Parasite.  Trade your Thraben to those people and everyone wins.

Trajectory: Down
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Beguiler of Wills M (eBay $1.23 /SCG $2.49)

I didn’t read this card correctly when I first looked at it.  It’s actually worse than I thought.  I initially thought that it stole any creature, but it turns out that it only steals creatures with power equal to the number of creatures that you control.  What blue deck has enough creatures to make this ability good enough?

Trajectory: Down
The Dice Have Spoken: Down

Call to the Kindred R (eBay $.75 /SCG $.49)

At no point in your rambling, incoherent card text were you even close to anything that could be considered a reasonable card choice.  Everyone in this room is now dumber for having read it.  I award you no points and may God have mercy on your soul.  Bulk.

Trajectory: Stay
The Dice Have Spoken: Down

Counterlash R (eBay $.68 /SCG)

I have a little crush on this card.  As a control player, I’d love to live the dream by countering a Snapcaster Mage and slamming an Inferno Titan.  Unfortunately, this card is not well positioned in the current Standard metagame and for the time being will be relegated to dregs of Ux Commander decks.

Trajectory: Stay
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Curse of Echoes R (eBay $.56 /SCG $.49)

There was a moment in time where people thought that this could be Hive Mind 5-8.  But then they noticed that the ability is a “may.”  Roll the bulk bin over here so I can toss this in it.

Trajectory: Stay
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Dungeon Geists R (eBay $1.07 /SCG $1.99)

Dungeon Geists

I’m a big fan of Dungeon Geists.  He has flying and his body is big enough to be relevant.  There’s a lot of Hexproof in the meta right now, so his full potential will not be realized until later.  It’s also worth noting that he’s a Spirit who curves well with Drogskol Captain.  Keep an eye on this guy; when he starts popping up in decklists, that $1 price tag will disappear.

Trajectory: Up
The Dice Have Spoken: Down

Geralf’s Mindcrusher has been removed from this review for crimes of supreme crappiness.

Havengul Runebinder R (eBay $.55 /SCG $.99 )

This guy is too expensive for what he does.  Cemetery Reaper does essentially the same thing and he costs one less.  Cemetery Reaper also pilfers your opponent’s graveyard, and he’s a zombie so he’s more “Gravedigger friendly.”

Trajectory: Stay
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Increasing Confusion R (eBay $.94 /SCG $1.25)

Increasing Confusion

This card has at least two things going for it.  The first is that it’s a mill card in a graveyard block.  This means that it could make an appearance in Standard, which naturally means an increase in demand and a price bump.  The second thing is that it’s a mill card.  There’s a sub-culture of casual players who love the mill cards!  Their love and devotion helps to keep these types of cards out of the bulk box.

Trajectory: Up
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Curse of Misfortunes R (eBay $.46 /SCG $.49)

The casual appeal of this card is keeping its value above the typical bulk rare rate.  Once the supply starts to increase, this will fall into bulk status.

Trajectory: Stay
The Dice Have Spoken: Stay

Fiend of the Shadows R (eBay $.55 /SCG $.49)

This card feels powerful, but creatures are so good these days that the chances of this seeing competitive play are very low.  I expect this to remain in the bulk rare vicinity.

Trajectory: Stay
The Dice Have Spoken: Stay

Geralf’s Messenger R (eBay $4.59 /SCG $5.99)

Geralf's Messenger

I’m having a hard time with the Kitchen Finks comparison that everyone seems to be using.  From a financial perspective, the casting cost of BBB puts Messenger in an entirely different category than Kitchen Finks.  Could you imagine how insane this guy would be if he was (B/X) (B/X) 1?  He’d easily be a $15 card.

Right now, there’s no home for Messenger.  I expect to see him popping up in Zombies (or Vampires) and Birthing Pod before too long.  I could see this card being $6-7 once the new meta starts to take shape.

Trajectory: Up
The Dice Have Spoken: Stay

Gravecrawler R (eBay $5.86 /SCG $7.99)

Gravecrawler

This is one of the best cards in the set.  It’ll see play in Standard, Modern, and possibly Legacy.  The potential for rares to blow up has become more of a reality in recent sets.  In Innistrad, we saw Stromkirk Noble seemingly come out of nowhere with its meteoric rise to $15 (for a couple of days) and Snapcaster Mage crushed previous “rare price thresholds” altogether with its $30 price tag.

This is a tough one to call.  The fact that it’s playable in multiple formats, and that rares have a habit of being unwieldy, makes me think that this could double in price.  On the other hand, there’s a buy-a-box promo for this card.  That is a factor which has hampered the value of cards in the past (take a look at Mirran Crusader’s $4.89 price tag) and it could do the same for this card.  I expect the demand for this card to “out run” the supply added to by the promo version.

Trajectory: Up
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Increasing Ambition R (eBay $.53/SCG $.99)

[Insert obligatory Commander comment here]. This will be a bulk rare until the set stops being printed, at which point the card will slowly climb due to Commander (e.g., Idyllic Tutor).

That being said, I doubt that this will move out of Bulksville over the next moth.

Trajectory: Stay
The Dice Have Spoken: Down

Mikaeus, the Unhallowed M (eBay $4.73 /SCG $7.99)

Speaking of Commander cards, this guy is INSANE.  Mikaeus appeals to all the different personality types that play Commander.  It’s flavorful, it has combo applications, and it’s a pseudo tribal card.   The foil price already reflects the Commander demand at $15.36, and I expect the card to hold its value well.

Some people (*cough*Ben Bleiweiss*cough*) are talking about this card getting banned in Commander.  WHAT?!  Let’s play a little game; put a copy of Mikaeus next to a copy of Emrakul, the Aeons Torn.   Now, which one is not like the other?

The Commander appeal will keep this card’s price stable until it can be considered for play in Standard.

Trajectory: Stay +/- $1
The Dice Have Spoken: Down

Ravenous Demon R (eBay $.44 /SCG $.99)

These kinds of cards always end up in the bulk box.  This version seems a little bit better than its predecessors, but it’s still not good enough to make an impact anywhere.

Trajectory: Down
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

FOIL Tragic Slip C (eBay $3.09 /SCG $3.99)

Tragic Slip

This card will be a constructed staple.  It’s one of those cards that will be played more than it should be, but that’s a good thing for the price.

Trajectory: Up
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Zombie Apocalypse R (eBay $.91 /SCG $1.25)

Zombie Apocalypse

A lot of the local Commander players were looking for this card on prerelease weekend. I was surprised at first, but once I considered what the card does it was easy to see its potential.  I originally read it as a six mana Perish against Humans.  Once I started looking at it like a one-way Patriarch’s Bidding for Zombies, the demand made more sense.

This card’s value will appreciate over time, but the real question is, “Will this climb out of the bulk range before one month passes?”  I think it will.  It seems like a lot of people are focused on the killing humans aspect and not the reanimating your graveyard aspect.  I wouldn’t be surprised to see one or two in the soon-to-exist standard Zombies deck.

Note: The Game Day promo of this will be in high demand and this may affect the demand for non-foils of this card.

Trajectory: Up
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Alpha Brawl R (eBay $.39 /SCG $.49)

This is another bulk rare that won’t see the light of day in constructed play.

Trajectory: Stay
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Curse of Bloodletting R (eBay $.54 /SCG $.99)

Bulk Rare.  The foils might command a small premium because some people will want to use it in Commander as a one-way [car]dFurnace of Wrath[/card].

Trajectory: Stay
The Dice Have Spoken: Stay

FOIL Faithless Looting C (eBay $6.38 /SCG $7.99)

This is one of the most powerful cards in the set.  It’s going to see play in all formats.  I expect the foil to have a price similar to Delver of Secrets ($4.63).  That price might be a little bit higher due to this being a small second set (similar to Worldwake).  It also suffers a bit because of all the Dredge players who are afraid of the big bad Cage.

Trajectory: Down
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Flayer of the Hatebound R (eBay $.48 /SCG $.49)

This is a bulk rare with potential.  The fact that his ability activates with other creatures is what makes him most interesting.  Until the Titans rotate out of Standard, his six mana casting cost is like a curse.  This guy isn’t even close to being as good as a Titan, but in a Titan-less world we could be looking at a hero.

Trajectory: Stay
The Dice Have Spoken: Down

Hellrider R (eBay $1.68 /SCG $2.49)

I like this card.  It’s reasonable without having other creatures in play and the more creatures that you have the better it gets.  Hellrider’s ability can help to deal with Planeswalkers while still attacking your opponent’s life total, or give you late game reach.

The problem with this card is that there’s not a deck that can fully utilize it.  Mono Red decks rely more on Shrine of Burning Rage and other burn spells than dudes.  If this card can find a home, then it has potential to go up.  Is it time for a RWb tokens deck with Hellrider and Kuldotha Rebirth?

Trajectory: Down
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Increasing Vengeance R (eBay $.80 /SCG $.99)

The biggest problem with this card is that it only copies spells that you control.  If it copied other player’s spells, then it would be a decent foil pickup for Commander.  Instead, it’s just another bulk rare.

Trajectory: Down
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Markov Blademaster R (eBay $1.19 /SCG $1.99)

I have dreams of running this card with Mutagenic Growth, but I also have dreams of finding a box of Black Lotuses at a yard sale.  Double Strike is awesome, especially on a creature with the Firewalker ability.  But Gut Shot and Tragic Slip are going to be too commonplace for this to be good.

Trajectory: Down
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Mondronen Shaman R (eBay $.78 /SCG $.99)

It’s a four mana do-nothing creature.  Why would you cast this over Huntmaster of the Fells?  Bulk rare.

Trajectory: Stay
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Moonveil Dragon M (eBay $1.59 /SCG $2.49)

Enter the Big Red Mythic Dragon of the set.  This wont see play in constructed, but there is a casual market for Dragons.  This will probably end up on someone’s buylist for $1+.

Trajectory: Down
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Deranged Outcast R (eBay $.66 /SCG $1.99)

I’ve heard some murmurs of this guy possibly being in a WG Humans build.  I like the idea of sacrificing Doomed Traveler or Loyal Cathar to this guy for value, but at what cost?  Does WG Humans make more sense than WU?  You gain Ray of Revelation, but lose Moorland Haunt.  That seems bad to me.  My guess is that he’ll be joining a lot of his other friends in the bulk box.

Trajectory: Down
The Dice Have Spoken: Stay

Feed the Pack R (eBay $.36 /SCG $.49)

Bulk rare.

Trajectory: Stay
The Dice Have Spoken: Down

Ghoultree R (eBay $1.08 /SCG $1.45 )

This card has a lot of potential.  We still have yet to see a Splinterfright/self-mill deck in Standard. This deck could exist right now or in the next year.  I would be surprised if this block rotates out of Standard without such a deck.  If there is a self-mill deck, then this guy will be a role player.  I’d expect him to follow the same trend as Dungrove Elder if he does see play in Standard.

What really excites me is not this card’s applications in Standard, but in Legacy and Vintage.  Faithless Looting has super-charged the Dredge menace in these formats and it won’t be long before people start to hate on Dredge.  I expect people to employ Grafdiggers Cage as part of their sideboard plan, and this guy is great for sidestepping the Cage.

This is where knowing the Intro Pack foils comes in handy.  Being in an Intro Pack will hold this brother down, at least for the next month.

Trajectory: Stay
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Increasing Savagery R (eBay $.60 /SCG $.49 )

This card is really closer to $.25, but there was a playset that went for $6 and it threw the average off.

Trajectory: Stay
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

I was going to review this card, but I got Lost in the Woods ($.35).

Predator Ooze R (eBay $1.61 /SCG $2.49 )

If it had Hexproof instead of indestructability, it might be a consideration for Mono Green.  There’s no reason to run this over Dungrove Elder.  Look!  My Ooze is a 22!  Vapor Snag.

Trajectory: Down
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Strangleroot Geist U (eBay $.63 /SCG $1.99)

Strangleroot Geist

This card is going to be around, so get used it.  It’s sure to be a Standard staple and I expect copies to be selling on eBay for $1+ before too long.  Keep in mind, that there are two copies of this card in the Monstrous Surprise Intro Pack.

Trajectory: Up
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Vorapede M (eBay $6.60 /SCG $7.49)

This card fails the Vapor Snag test.  But if it doesn’t get Vapor Snaged, the payoff is good.  Trample is relevant in the current meta of little dudes and so is Vigilance.  Undying is icing on the cake and it makes it a desirable Birthing Pod target.

If this makes it into a Top 8 deck at a publicized tournament, it will easily hit $10.

Trajectory: Up
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Vorapede

Wolfbitten Captive R (eBay $1.40 /SCG $1.99)

I could see this being played as a 2/2 for 1cmc in a RG Werewolf deck.  His ability after being flipped kinda sucks.  Beyond the non-existent RG Werewolf deck, I don’t see a lot of application for this card.

Trajectory: Down
The Dice Have Spoken: Stay

Uncommon Lords

We’ll take a little detour before finishing the article.  All of these uncommon lords will perform well, price wise.  I think the most playable one is the Drogskol Captain, but all of them have potential.  Creature lords also have a huge casual appeal.  Almost every Lord goes up in price after they cycle out of Standard.

Diregraf Captain (eBay $.96 /SCG $1.49)
Drogskol Captain (eBay $.63 /SCG $1.99)
Immerwolf (eBay $.65 /SCG $.99)
Stromkirk Captain (eBay $.81 /SCG $1.49)

Drogskol Reaver M (eBay $4.50 /SCG $9.99)

This card is sweet, but it’s a little bit awkward in the meta right now.  Cards like Consecrated Sphinx and Elesh Norn, Grand Cenobite are blocking this card from easily sliding into an existing control or Unburial Rites deck.  Maybe now isn’t the time for this card, but it definitely has potential.

The interaction between this card and Pristine Talisman seems too good to ignore.  It’s also worth noting that Drogskol Captain gives this guy Hexproof.  I expect this to see play in Standard; it may not be right away, but it’s time will come.

Trajectory: Stay
The Dice Have Spoken: Down

Falkenrath Aristocrat M (eBay $5.85 /SCG $7.99)

Falkenrath Aristocrat

I suck at rating cards like this, but my instinct says that this card is really good.  If it wasn’t for Moorland Haunt and all the flying token makers, then this card would be insane.  I like the fact that you can play it on turn four with pseudo protection.  On turn five, you can tap out to put a sword on it and it is still protected.  The haste allows you to get at least 4-5 damage in before your opponent has a chance to react.

Trajectory: Up
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Havengul Lich M (eBay $10.99 /SCG $14.99)

Havengul Lich

This originally went up on SCG at $10 and I tried to buy them out.  I got 9 of them and then they raised the price to $15.  I really like this card.  Its interaction with dead Snapcaster Mages alone makes the card worth a look.  There are a lot of subtleties to the ability that won’t be fully realized until people start to play with this card.  If I had to name a break out mythic of the set it would be this guy.

Trajectory: Up
The Dice Have Spoken: Stay

Huntmaster of the Fells M (eBay $12.14 /SCG $17.49)

This card is not as good as people want it to be, but it’s not bad.  You get some value when you play it and if it flips, you get even more value.  The issue with the card is that it has a fragile body when you play him; all your work could be undone by Whipflare.  I expect cards like this to solve problems for the decks that they go in.  For example, Hero of Bladehold is the best follow up to a sweeper.  Having Hero of Bladehold in your deck allows you to have more game against sweepers.  Another example is Thrun, the Last Troll.  It’s a threat that Control decks have trouble interacting with.  What problems does Huntmaster solve?

Trajectory: Down
The Dice Have Spoken: Down

Sorin, Lord of Innistrad M (eBay $45.70 /SCG $54.99)

The flagship card of the set had to wait in line just like all the other cards.  I don’t play favorites.  This isn’t a $50 card.  It’s a good card.  It’s an exciting card.  But it’s not going to keep this price in the long run.  Look at Liliana of the Veil; she currently sees play in Standard, Modern, and Legacy yet she’s still only around $22.  We don’t even know if Sorin is as good as Liliana yet!  If I had to predict a price for Sorin, it would land somewhere between $25 and $35.

Trajectory: Down
The Dice Have Spoken: Stay

Elbrus, the Binding Blade M (eBay $4.21 /SCG $4.99)

This will be a Commander favorite.  Foils are already weighing in at $16+.  This is like many of the other Commander cards from the set.  It will stay or dip a little, and then once it rotates out of Standard it will go up in price.

Trajectory: Down
The Dice Have Spoken: Down

Grafdigger’s Cage R (eBay $7.47 /SCG $9.99)

Everyone went nuts when this was spoiled.  The card is a nice hate card to add to your arsenal, but it’s still just a sideboard card.  Sideboard cards don’t typically carry a high premium.  Their foil versions always seem to be exponentially higher than the non-foil version (the same is true of hate bears).  I expect the card to settle at $4-5.

Trajectory: Down
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Helvault M (eBay $1.19 /SCG $1.99)

Helvault

I’m a big fan of UR Control and I would have killed for a card like this.  One of the problems with UR is that you have a hard time dealing with a resolved fatty.  This card does that and it’s reusable.  I’ve heard people compare this to Karn, but I like this more than Karn Liberated in some respects.  It comes down on turn three, so it’s easier to sneak it in under counter Magic.   You can also use it at EOT, which allows you to leave counter mana up.

This is exactly what I was talking about in the Huntmaster of the Fells section.  This card solves a problem for decks that have trouble removing big creatures.  This is especially relevant in Commander, where there are color restrictions.  I love $1 mythic rares because they typically have all upside.  I’ll be casually picking these up, especially foil versions.

Trajectory: Up
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Jar of Eyeballs R (eBay $.34 /SCG $.75)

There’s nothing to see here folks.  Move along.

…. Get it?  “Nothing to SEE!”  TROLL LOL LOL LOL.

Trajectory: Stay
The Dice Have Spoken: Up

Grim Backwoods R (eBay $.87 /SCG $1.49)

Grim Backwoods

This card seems really good in a GB deck with Undying creatures.  It reminds me of Horizon Canopy in a way.  Sacrificing an Undying creature is like trading half a card for a whole card.  That’s not factoring in the times that you’ll sacrifice in response to a removal spell.

Miren, the Moaning Well is a $5-$6 card because of its playability in Commander.  I expect this to follow the same trend over time.

Trajectory: Up
The Dice Have Spoken: Stay

Vault of the Archangel R (eBay $2.67 /SCG $3.99)

I’m not impressed with this land.  It’s definitely good in BW tokens, but outside of that I don’t see it being heavily played.  It’s currently about the same price as Moorland Haunt, and Moorland Haunt is a four-of in some of the best decks in Standard.  It’s also making its way into Legacy!  The price of this card is inflated by the BW Token hype.

Trajectory: Down
The Dice Have Spoken: Down

That’s all I have for you guys this week.  I hope you enjoyed this massive set review!

Jonathan Medina

 

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